The mood of Andhra Pradesh-TDP to get 110 to 120 MLAs seats

••Chance to win 19 to 21 MP seats  

••Anti-incumbency factor plays the main role

Patibandla Srinivas

([email protected])

Amaravati: With the election date around the corner, the candidates of various parties are ready to file nominations from Thursday onwards.

Various survey organisations are revealing their analyses constituency-wise, region-wise, and candidate-wise by closely observing all influenced factors for the last several days. The people across the State, especially analysts and political pundits are debating the prospects of political parties on every platform by exchanging their views.  

As part of curiosity, `The Capital Media’ has also collected, constituency-wise, district-wise, and region-wise details from senior journalists, analysts, survey organisations, and political pundits along with the rank and file of various political parties across the State.

As per the ground reports, the anti-incumbency factor will play an important role like any election. Though Chief Minister YS Jagan Mohan Reddy depended only on welfare schemes as per the feedback, the anti-incumbency factor is likely to dominate the entire situation.

Indeed, the YSR Congress has created feeling as it is going forward by using its social media as part of poll management tactics but the voter mood is already fixed and nobody can influence the youth, neutral voters, or government employees who can play important role in the prospects of any political party. The Capital Media is revealing the district-wise winning chances seats number of the main parties only to not demoralize any candidate personally.

As per the analysis, the TDP will win 110 MLA seats and 19 Lok Sabha seats. If the TDP successfully utilises the anti-incumbency factor by taking the voters’ turnout to booths, it can get 10 to 15 more Assembly and 2 more Lok Sabha seats.

The TDP will win majority Assembly seats from Srikakulam to Nellore districts except in the limits of Vizianagaram and Araku Lok Sabha. Similarly, the TDP has good prospects in Anantapur district in the district-wise seats projection in the Rayalaseema region though the YSR Congress is in a strong position there. TDP will have a chance to win 5 seats out of the total 10 seats in Srikakulam district. It may get 2 more seats if the Opposition TDP sets right the internal disturbance.

An interesting fact is the TDP is likely to win  4 seats while the YSR Congress has a chance to win 5 seats in the Vizianagaram district out of 9 Assembly seats. If the leadership pacifies the rank and file of the party and aspirants the TDP may come to the lead position. In Visakhapatnam district, the TDP will win 8 seats in a total of 15 seats in the district. But the TDP is likely to get 1 to 2 seats additionally if the internal disputes in the seat allocation are resolved.

The TDP will win 14 MLA seats out of a total 19 seats in East Godavari district. It may win one more seat if the anti-incumbency factor and vote transfer are done smoothly. As of now, the YSR Congress candidates have advantageous positions in 3 seats only. There is a tough fight in two Assembly seats.

TDP will have a fair chance to win 11 seats in the West Godavari district in a total of 14 seats. It may get two more seats if the displeasure is resolved and the vote transfer is done successfully. The YSR Congress may win one seat due to candidate misplacement.  

In Krishna district, the TDP will win 10 to 12 seats in total 16 seats. There is a keen contest between the ruling YSR Congress and TDP in four constituencies. Similarly, the TDP has the chance to win 13 Assembly segments in the Guntur district for a total of 17 seats. It may win one more seat if the MLA contestant works hard.

The contestants of the TDP have a chance to win 8 segments while the YSR Congress is likely to win four constituencies in the 12 seats of the Prakasam district. In Nellore district both the parties will win 5 seats each in the total 10 seats. But the TDP has a chance to get one more additionally if everything works well.

The YSR Congress will win majority seats in the Kurnool district. As per reports, the TDP may be confined to 4 or 5 seats only in the total of 14 seats. The YSR Congress candidates have an advantageous position in 8 seats. There is some keen contest for 2 seats. Similarly, the YSR Congress can play a dominant role in the Kadapa district with 7 Assembly segments while TDP has the chance to win 3 seats in the total 10 seats in the district. The TDP lost the chance at least one seat due to misplacement in candidate selection.

In the same way, the YSR Congress has a chance to win up to 7 seats in the Chittoor district. The TDP may be confined up to 5 seats in the total 14 Assembly seats. There is a keen contest for 2 seats. Against the trend in Rayalaseema, the TDP again is likely to play a dominant role and it will have a chance to win 9 to 10 Assembly seats in the total 14 Assembly seats in Anantapur district.